{
  "title": "WC26 Oracle specialist allocation simulation",
  "methodology": {
    "ranking_basis": "Completed direct-market net P/L for each model",
    "scope": "Retrospective simulation across the same 19 match-days",
    "starting_bankroll": 1000.0,
    "core_stake": 100.0,
    "core_route_weights": [
      0.6,
      0.4
    ],
    "profit_route_share": 0.1,
    "minimum_profit_route_stake": 1.0
  },
  "models": [
    {
      "model": "VX-06",
      "final_bankroll": 1747.65,
      "profit": 747.65,
      "profit_label": "+$747.65",
      "total_staked": 2422.0,
      "total_returned": 3169.65,
      "drawdown": 19.27,
      "drawdown_context": {
        "peak": 1165.6,
        "trough": 940.95,
        "loss": 224.65,
        "percent": 19.27,
        "peak_match": "Canada vs Morocco",
        "trough_match": "Argentina vs Egypt",
        "peak_sequence": 4,
        "trough_sequence": 10
      },
      "matches_bet": 19,
      "match_total": 19,
      "wagers": 53,
      "record": "24 wins \u00b7 29 losses",
      "routes": [
        {
          "rank": 1,
          "strategy": "corners_1h_total",
          "label": "First-half corners",
          "ranking_profit": 512.07,
          "ranking_profit_label": "+$512.07",
          "allocation_rule": "60% of $100 core",
          "bets": 19,
          "wins": 13,
          "losses": 6,
          "pushes": 0,
          "staked": 1140.0,
          "returned": 1452.0,
          "net": 312.0,
          "net_label": "+$312",
          "record": "13 wins \u00b7 6 losses"
        },
        {
          "rank": 2,
          "strategy": "ft90_exact_score",
          "label": "90-minute exact score",
          "ranking_profit": 417.99,
          "ranking_profit_label": "+$417.99",
          "allocation_rule": "40% of $100 core",
          "bets": 19,
          "wins": 4,
          "losses": 15,
          "pushes": 0,
          "staked": 760.0,
          "returned": 1140.0,
          "net": 380.0,
          "net_label": "+$380",
          "record": "4 wins \u00b7 15 losses"
        },
        {
          "rank": 3,
          "strategy": "ht_exact_score",
          "label": "Half-time exact score",
          "ranking_profit": 413.42,
          "ranking_profit_label": "+$413.42",
          "allocation_rule": "10% of positive P/L, whole dollars, $1 minimum",
          "bets": 15,
          "wins": 7,
          "losses": 8,
          "pushes": 0,
          "staked": 522.0,
          "returned": 577.65,
          "net": 55.65,
          "net_label": "+$55.65",
          "record": "7 wins \u00b7 8 losses"
        }
      ],
      "match_ledger": [
        {
          "sequence": 1,
          "match": "Australia vs Egypt",
          "date": "2026-07-03",
          "selections": 2,
          "record": "1 wins \u00b7 1 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 0.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 0.0,
          "stake": 100.0,
          "returned": 103.8,
          "net": 3.8,
          "before": 1000.0,
          "after": 1003.8,
          "stake_label": "$100",
          "returned_label": "$103.80",
          "net_label": "$3.80",
          "after_label": "$1,003.80",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$0",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 103.8,
              "net": 43.8,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$103.80",
              "net_label": "$43.80",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "First-half corners: under 4"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -40.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$40",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 0-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 2,
          "match": "Argentina vs Cape Verde",
          "date": "2026-07-03",
          "selections": 2,
          "record": "1 wins \u00b7 1 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 0.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 0.38,
          "stake": 100.0,
          "returned": 105.0,
          "net": 5.0,
          "before": 1003.8,
          "after": 1008.8,
          "stake_label": "$100",
          "returned_label": "$105",
          "net_label": "$5",
          "after_label": "$1,008.80",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$0",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 105.0,
              "net": 45.0,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$105",
              "net_label": "$45",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "First-half corners: under 4.5"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -40.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$40",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 2-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 3,
          "match": "Colombia vs Ghana",
          "date": "2026-07-04",
          "selections": 2,
          "record": "1 wins \u00b7 1 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 0.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 0.88,
          "stake": 100.0,
          "returned": 220.0,
          "net": 120.0,
          "before": 1008.8,
          "after": 1128.8,
          "stake_label": "$100",
          "returned_label": "$220",
          "net_label": "$120",
          "after_label": "$1,128.80",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$0",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -60.0,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$60",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "First-half corners: over 4"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 220.0,
              "net": 180.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$220",
              "net_label": "$180",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 1-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 4,
          "match": "Canada vs Morocco",
          "date": "2026-07-04",
          "selections": 3,
          "record": "2 wins \u00b7 1 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 12.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 12.88,
          "stake": 112.0,
          "returned": 148.8,
          "net": 36.8,
          "before": 1128.8,
          "after": 1165.6,
          "stake_label": "$112",
          "returned_label": "$148.80",
          "net_label": "$36.80",
          "after_label": "$1,165.60",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$12",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 117.0,
              "net": 57.0,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$117",
              "net_label": "$57",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "First-half corners: over 4"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -40.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$40",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 1-1"
            },
            {
              "rank": 3,
              "route": "Half-time exact score",
              "stake": 12.0,
              "returned": 31.8,
              "net": 19.8,
              "stake_label": "$12",
              "returned_label": "$31.80",
              "net_label": "$19.80",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "Half-time exact score: 0-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 5,
          "match": "Paraguay vs France",
          "date": "2026-07-04",
          "selections": 3,
          "record": "1 wins \u00b7 2 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 16.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 16.56,
          "stake": 116.0,
          "returned": 57.6,
          "net": -58.4,
          "before": 1165.6,
          "after": 1107.2,
          "stake_label": "$116",
          "returned_label": "$57.60",
          "net_label": "-$58.40",
          "after_label": "$1,107.20",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$16",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -60.0,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$60",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "First-half corners: under 4.5"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -40.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$40",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 0-2"
            },
            {
              "rank": 3,
              "route": "Half-time exact score",
              "stake": 16.0,
              "returned": 57.6,
              "net": 41.6,
              "stake_label": "$16",
              "returned_label": "$57.60",
              "net_label": "$41.60",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "Half-time exact score: 0-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 6,
          "match": "Brazil vs Norway",
          "date": "2026-07-05",
          "selections": 3,
          "record": "2 wins \u00b7 1 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 10.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 10.72,
          "stake": 110.0,
          "returned": 142.8,
          "net": 32.8,
          "before": 1107.2,
          "after": 1140.0,
          "stake_label": "$110",
          "returned_label": "$142.80",
          "net_label": "$32.80",
          "after_label": "$1,140.00",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$10",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 109.8,
              "net": 49.8,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$109.80",
              "net_label": "$49.80",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "First-half corners: under 4"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -40.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$40",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 1-1"
            },
            {
              "rank": 3,
              "route": "Half-time exact score",
              "stake": 10.0,
              "returned": 33.0,
              "net": 23.0,
              "stake_label": "$10",
              "returned_label": "$33",
              "net_label": "$23",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "Half-time exact score: 0-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 7,
          "match": "Mexico vs England",
          "date": "2026-07-05",
          "selections": 3,
          "record": "1 wins \u00b7 2 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 13.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 14.0,
          "stake": 113.0,
          "returned": 103.8,
          "net": -9.2,
          "before": 1140.0,
          "after": 1130.8,
          "stake_label": "$113",
          "returned_label": "$103.80",
          "net_label": "-$9.20",
          "after_label": "$1,130.80",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$13",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 103.8,
              "net": 43.8,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$103.80",
              "net_label": "$43.80",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "First-half corners: over 3.5"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -40.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$40",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 1-1"
            },
            {
              "rank": 3,
              "route": "Half-time exact score",
              "stake": 13.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -13.0,
              "stake_label": "$13",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$13",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "Half-time exact score: 0-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 8,
          "match": "Portugal vs Spain",
          "date": "2026-07-06",
          "selections": 3,
          "record": "2 wins \u00b7 1 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 13.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 13.08,
          "stake": 113.0,
          "returned": 142.15,
          "net": 29.15,
          "before": 1130.8,
          "after": 1159.95,
          "stake_label": "$113",
          "returned_label": "$142.15",
          "net_label": "$29.15",
          "after_label": "$1,159.95",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$13",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 103.8,
              "net": 43.8,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$103.80",
              "net_label": "$43.80",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "First-half corners: over 4"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -40.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$40",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 1-1"
            },
            {
              "rank": 3,
              "route": "Half-time exact score",
              "stake": 13.0,
              "returned": 38.35,
              "net": 25.35,
              "stake_label": "$13",
              "returned_label": "$38.35",
              "net_label": "$25.35",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "Half-time exact score: 0-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 9,
          "match": "United States vs Belgium",
          "date": "2026-07-06",
          "selections": 3,
          "record": "0 wins \u00b7 3 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 15.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 15.99,
          "stake": 115.0,
          "returned": 0.0,
          "net": -115.0,
          "before": 1159.95,
          "after": 1044.95,
          "stake_label": "$115",
          "returned_label": "$0",
          "net_label": "-$115",
          "after_label": "$1,044.95",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$15",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -60.0,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$60",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "First-half corners: over 4.5"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -40.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$40",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 1-1"
            },
            {
              "rank": 3,
              "route": "Half-time exact score",
              "stake": 15.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -15.0,
              "stake_label": "$15",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$15",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "Half-time exact score: 0-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 10,
          "match": "Argentina vs Egypt",
          "date": "2026-07-07",
          "selections": 3,
          "record": "0 wins \u00b7 3 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 4.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 4.49,
          "stake": 104.0,
          "returned": 0.0,
          "net": -104.0,
          "before": 1044.95,
          "after": 940.95,
          "stake_label": "$104",
          "returned_label": "$0",
          "net_label": "-$104",
          "after_label": "$940.95",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$4",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -60.0,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$60",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "First-half corners: over 4"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -40.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$40",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 2-0"
            },
            {
              "rank": 3,
              "route": "Half-time exact score",
              "stake": 4.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -4.0,
              "stake_label": "$4",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$4",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "Half-time exact score: 1-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 11,
          "match": "Switzerland vs Colombia",
          "date": "2026-07-07",
          "selections": 2,
          "record": "2 wins \u00b7 0 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 0.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 0.0,
          "stake": 100.0,
          "returned": 398.8,
          "net": 298.8,
          "before": 940.95,
          "after": 1239.75,
          "stake_label": "$100",
          "returned_label": "$398.80",
          "net_label": "$298.80",
          "after_label": "$1,239.75",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$0",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 118.8,
              "net": 58.8,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$118.80",
              "net_label": "$58.80",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "First-half corners: over 4"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 280.0,
              "net": 240.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$280",
              "net_label": "$240",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 0-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 12,
          "match": "France vs Morocco",
          "date": "2026-07-09",
          "selections": 3,
          "record": "2 wins \u00b7 1 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 23.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 23.97,
          "stake": 123.0,
          "returned": 170.05,
          "net": 47.05,
          "before": 1239.75,
          "after": 1286.8,
          "stake_label": "$123",
          "returned_label": "$170.05",
          "net_label": "$47.05",
          "after_label": "$1,286.80",
          "core_stake_label": "$100",
          "profit_allocation_label": "$23",
          "bets": [
            {
              "rank": 1,
              "route": "First-half corners",
              "stake": 60.0,
              "returned": 106.8,
              "net": 46.8,
              "stake_label": "$60",
              "returned_label": "$106.80",
              "net_label": "$46.80",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "First-half corners: under 4.5"
            },
            {
              "rank": 2,
              "route": "90-minute exact score",
              "stake": 40.0,
              "returned": 0.0,
              "net": -40.0,
              "stake_label": "$40",
              "returned_label": "$0",
              "net_label": "-$40",
              "result": "loss",
              "pick": "90-minute exact score: 1-0"
            },
            {
              "rank": 3,
              "route": "Half-time exact score",
              "stake": 23.0,
              "returned": 63.25,
              "net": 40.25,
              "stake_label": "$23",
              "returned_label": "$63.25",
              "net_label": "$40.25",
              "result": "win",
              "pick": "Half-time exact score: 0-0"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "sequence": 13,
          "match": "Spain vs Belgium",
          "date": "2026-07-10",
          "selections": 3,
          "record": "1 wins \u00b7 2 losses",
          "core_stake": 100.0,
          "profit_allocation": 28.0,
          "raw_profit_allocation": 28.68,
          "stake": 128.0,
          "returned": 121.8,
          "net": -6.2,
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